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Definition of Accredited Investor:
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Welcome to MJLĀ Capital

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Weekly Attestations
October 29, 2024

šŸ”®Kraks in the Base, MSFT Floats BTC Investment, Poly-Accuracy, CEX to DEX

SKY or Maker, ETHs Next Step, XRP and FTX Legal Updates

šŸ”®Kraks in the Base, MSFT Floats BTC Investment, Poly-Accuracy, CEX to DEX

Top Stories

Kraks In The Base

Kraken plans to introduce its Layer 2 blockchain, "Ink," on Ethereum using the OP Stack in early 2025, following Coinbaseā€™s success with Base. Ink aims to support decentralized finance (DeFi) applications like trading and lending on Ethereumā€™s Superchainā€”a network of interoperable Layer 2s built with Optimismā€™s technology. Kraken will initially act as Inkā€™s sole sequencer, managing transaction validation before gradually decentralizing. No Ink token is planned, focusing instead on expanding DeFi access without creating new tokens, distinguishing it from other projects. Meanwhile, on October 30, Ethereum Layer 2 network Base will introduce permissionless fault proofs, a key feature for decentralizing the network and enhancing security. This upgrade, developed in collaboration with Optimism, will allow any participant to contest potentially erroneous transactions. Following a model similar to Optimismā€™s OP Mainnet, Baseā€™s fault-proof implementation is part of the broader Superchain ecosystem, which includes networks like Zora and Unichain.

Rising DEX to CEX Volume Ratio Signals Shifting Crypto Landscape

As of late October 2024, the decentralized exchange (DEX) to centralized exchange (CEX) spot trade volume ratio has climbed to 14.12%, up significantly from 0.04% in January 2020. This steady increase highlights DEXs' growing market share, a trend driven by improved on-chain transaction speeds, cost reductions, and heightened user interest in decentralized platforms. This yearā€™s data also show an 8.5% monthly growth rate in the ratio since February, underscoring how DEXs are increasingly attracting traders and reshaping the crypto market. With the final October data pending, this ratio could set a new all-time high, marking a notable shift in trading preferences within the digital asset space.

Buterin Proposes Solutions to Mitigate Ethereum Staking and Block Production Centralization

Vitalik Buterin has proposed strategies to address Ethereumā€™s growing centralization in staking and block production, which he describes as a significant risk. Recent data reveals that two entities built nearly 88% of Ethereum blocks in October, raising concerns about transaction censorship and control. Buterin suggests capping Ether stake per user and limiting penalties to safeguard decentralization. He also introduced two proposals, ā€œfork-choice-enforced inclusion listsā€ and ā€œBRAID,ā€ which decentralize block production by distributing control among multiple actors, aiming to curb risks of censorship, transaction delays, and revenue manipulation in Ethereumā€™s DeFi ecosystem.

Sky Reconsidering Return to MakerDAO Branding Due to Community Confusion

Sky, the rebranded MakerDAO protocol, is considering reverting to the MakerDAO name after feedback revealed community confusion and attachment to the original brand. Co-founder Rune Christensen announced plans for governance proposals to determine the direction, with options like merging Sky and MakerDAO identities, creating separate roles for each, or adopting an updated Maker brand aligned with Sky's new USDS stablecoin and StarDAO ecosystem. As Sky grows, surpassing a $1 billion USDS supply, the project will also expand across Ethereum Layer 2s and Solana. Voting on branding changes begins November 4.

Ethereumā€™s Path Forward: Addressing Dencunā€™s Impact with ā€œThe Surgeā€

Ethereumā€™s 2024 Dencun upgrade aimed to support Layer 2 (L2) solutions by reducing fees and promoting cheaper data storage, yet it also led to Ethereumā€™s fee revenues dropping by 99% and introduced challenges like liquidity fragmentation. Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin, however, remains focused on Ethereum as a core Layer 1 (L1) network for L2s. His new ā€œThe Surgeā€ upgrade promises higher transaction speeds (up to 100,000 TPS), interoperability improvements, and upcoming features like automated staking pools. Starting with 2025ā€™s Pectra upgrade, these changes seek to solidify Ethereumā€™s foundation, fostering a unified ecosystem for both L1 and L2 functionalities.

Regulation

Microsoft to Consider Bitcoin Investment Proposal in December Meeting

Microsoft has included a proposal for potential investment in Bitcoin as an item for shareholder voting at its December 2024 annual meeting. This proposal, put forth by the National Center for Public Policy Research, suggests Microsoft assess Bitcoin investments for its diversification and inflation protection. However, Microsoftā€™s board has recommended voting against the proposal, calling it ā€œunnecessaryā€ since the company already evaluates cryptocurrency trends. If approved, Microsoft would surpass Tesla and MicroStrategy as the largest Bitcoin-investing publicly traded firm.

The Reliability of Polymarketā€™s U.S. Election Odds

Mark Cuban recently cast doubt on the reliability of Polymarketā€™s odds for the 2024 U.S. presidential election, arguing that foreign investments skew results on the crypto-based prediction platform. At present, Polymarket's odds suggest a strong advantage for Trump, with a 64.1% chance of winning over Vice President Kamala Harris, backed by over $2.2 billion in total bets. Cuban, who indirectly invested in Polymarket through a crypto fund, noted that U.S. residents are prohibited from participating due to a 2022 CFTC ruling. Critics of Polymarket argue that the platformā€™s structure, where odds are shaped by usersā€™ direct trading rather than expert odds-makers, leaves it vulnerable to possible manipulation. Four high-volume traders betting heavily on Trumpā€™s victory have already fueled speculation about distorted odds. Cubanā€™s remarks join broader discussions on the reliability of prediction markets, even though Polymarket correctly anticipated Bidenā€™s withdrawal from the race before November. See similar: Ripple CEO Says Kamala Harris Taking 'Nuanced' Approach to Crypto

Ripple CEO Predicts XRP ETF Approval is ā€œInevitableā€ Amidst SEC Dispute

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse expects an eventual SEC-approved XRP ETF, following recent Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF endorsements. Despite an ongoing SEC lawsuit against Ripple, Bitwise has already filed for an XRP ETF, sparking confidence in XRP's regulatory potential. Garlinghouse emphasized significant demand for an XRP ETF from institutional investors, viewing such developments as progress. This follows Rippleā€™s partial victory limiting SEC claims and recent positive court rulings, which the company hopes will further XRPā€™s market integration and legal clarity.

FTX Reaches $228M Settlement with Bybit to Aid Creditor Repayments

The FTX estate has settled its lawsuit with Bybit, securing $175 million in crypto held by Bybit accounts and proceeds from the sale of over 105 million BIT tokens, totaling approximately $52.7 million. This legal action followed accusations that Bybit leveraged "VIP" access to withdraw substantial assets from FTX before its 2022 collapse. The funds recovered will support FTXā€™s reorganization plan, which aims to repay 98% of creditors over 118% of their claims in cash, based on FTX's bankruptcy valuation.

Other Domestic Regulation Updates

Other International Regulation Updates

Pain & Gain

Pain

Gain


Important Legal Notices

This reflects the views MJL Capital LLC (ā€œMJLā€), but it should in no way be construed to represent financial or investment advice. Nothing in this correspondence is intended to constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an issue for sale or subscription of, or solicitation of any offer or invitation to subscribe for, underwrite, or otherwise acquire or dispose of any security, including any interest in any private investment fund managed by MJL. Any such offer may only be made pursuant to a formal confidential private placement memorandum of any such fund, which may be furnished to potential investors upon request and which will contain important information to be considered in connection with any such investment, including risk factors associated with making any investment in any such fund. Further, nothing in this correspondence is, or is intended to be treated as, investment or tax advice. Each recipient should consult their own legal, tax and other professional advisors in connection with investment decisions.

Domenic Salvo
Domenic Salvo

Domenic Salvo is a Managing Partner at MJL Capital, helping lead Portfolio Research and Investor Relations.

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