Top Stories
Kraks In The Base
Kraken plans to introduce its Layer 2 blockchain, "Ink," on Ethereum using the OP Stack in early 2025, following Coinbaseās success with Base. Ink aims to support decentralized finance (DeFi) applications like trading and lending on Ethereumās Superchaināa network of interoperable Layer 2s built with Optimismās technology. Kraken will initially act as Inkās sole sequencer, managing transaction validation before gradually decentralizing. No Ink token is planned, focusing instead on expanding DeFi access without creating new tokens, distinguishing it from other projects. Meanwhile, on October 30, Ethereum Layer 2 network Base will introduce permissionless fault proofs, a key feature for decentralizing the network and enhancing security. This upgrade, developed in collaboration with Optimism, will allow any participant to contest potentially erroneous transactions. Following a model similar to Optimismās OP Mainnet, Baseās fault-proof implementation is part of the broader Superchain ecosystem, which includes networks like Zora and Unichain.
Rising DEX to CEX Volume Ratio Signals Shifting Crypto Landscape
As of late October 2024, the decentralized exchange (DEX) to centralized exchange (CEX) spot trade volume ratio has climbed to 14.12%, up significantly from 0.04% in January 2020. This steady increase highlights DEXs' growing market share, a trend driven by improved on-chain transaction speeds, cost reductions, and heightened user interest in decentralized platforms. This yearās data also show an 8.5% monthly growth rate in the ratio since February, underscoring how DEXs are increasingly attracting traders and reshaping the crypto market. With the final October data pending, this ratio could set a new all-time high, marking a notable shift in trading preferences within the digital asset space.
Buterin Proposes Solutions to Mitigate Ethereum Staking and Block Production Centralization
Vitalik Buterin has proposed strategies to address Ethereumās growing centralization in staking and block production, which he describes as a significant risk. Recent data reveals that two entities built nearly 88% of Ethereum blocks in October, raising concerns about transaction censorship and control. Buterin suggests capping Ether stake per user and limiting penalties to safeguard decentralization. He also introduced two proposals, āfork-choice-enforced inclusion listsā and āBRAID,ā which decentralize block production by distributing control among multiple actors, aiming to curb risks of censorship, transaction delays, and revenue manipulation in Ethereumās DeFi ecosystem.
Sky Reconsidering Return to MakerDAO Branding Due to Community Confusion
Sky, the rebranded MakerDAO protocol, is considering reverting to the MakerDAO name after feedback revealed community confusion and attachment to the original brand. Co-founder Rune Christensen announced plans for governance proposals to determine the direction, with options like merging Sky and MakerDAO identities, creating separate roles for each, or adopting an updated Maker brand aligned with Sky's new USDS stablecoin and StarDAO ecosystem. As Sky grows, surpassing a $1 billion USDS supply, the project will also expand across Ethereum Layer 2s and Solana. Voting on branding changes begins November 4.
Ethereumās Path Forward: Addressing Dencunās Impact with āThe Surgeā
Ethereumās 2024 Dencun upgrade aimed to support Layer 2 (L2) solutions by reducing fees and promoting cheaper data storage, yet it also led to Ethereumās fee revenues dropping by 99% and introduced challenges like liquidity fragmentation. Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin, however, remains focused on Ethereum as a core Layer 1 (L1) network for L2s. His new āThe Surgeā upgrade promises higher transaction speeds (up to 100,000 TPS), interoperability improvements, and upcoming features like automated staking pools. Starting with 2025ās Pectra upgrade, these changes seek to solidify Ethereumās foundation, fostering a unified ecosystem for both L1 and L2 functionalities.
Regulation
Microsoft to Consider Bitcoin Investment Proposal in December Meeting
Microsoft has included a proposal for potential investment in Bitcoin as an item for shareholder voting at its December 2024 annual meeting. This proposal, put forth by the National Center for Public Policy Research, suggests Microsoft assess Bitcoin investments for its diversification and inflation protection. However, Microsoftās board has recommended voting against the proposal, calling it āunnecessaryā since the company already evaluates cryptocurrency trends. If approved, Microsoft would surpass Tesla and MicroStrategy as the largest Bitcoin-investing publicly traded firm.
The Reliability of Polymarketās U.S. Election Odds
Mark Cuban recently cast doubt on the reliability of Polymarketās odds for the 2024 U.S. presidential election, arguing that foreign investments skew results on the crypto-based prediction platform. At present, Polymarket's odds suggest a strong advantage for Trump, with a 64.1% chance of winning over Vice President Kamala Harris, backed by over $2.2 billion in total bets. Cuban, who indirectly invested in Polymarket through a crypto fund, noted that U.S. residents are prohibited from participating due to a 2022 CFTC ruling. Critics of Polymarket argue that the platformās structure, where odds are shaped by usersā direct trading rather than expert odds-makers, leaves it vulnerable to possible manipulation. Four high-volume traders betting heavily on Trumpās victory have already fueled speculation about distorted odds. Cubanās remarks join broader discussions on the reliability of prediction markets, even though Polymarket correctly anticipated Bidenās withdrawal from the race before November. See similar: Ripple CEO Says Kamala Harris Taking 'Nuanced' Approach to Crypto
Ripple CEO Predicts XRP ETF Approval is āInevitableā Amidst SEC Dispute
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse expects an eventual SEC-approved XRP ETF, following recent Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF endorsements. Despite an ongoing SEC lawsuit against Ripple, Bitwise has already filed for an XRP ETF, sparking confidence in XRP's regulatory potential. Garlinghouse emphasized significant demand for an XRP ETF from institutional investors, viewing such developments as progress. This follows Rippleās partial victory limiting SEC claims and recent positive court rulings, which the company hopes will further XRPās market integration and legal clarity.
FTX Reaches $228M Settlement with Bybit to Aid Creditor Repayments
The FTX estate has settled its lawsuit with Bybit, securing $175 million in crypto held by Bybit accounts and proceeds from the sale of over 105 million BIT tokens, totaling approximately $52.7 million. This legal action followed accusations that Bybit leveraged "VIP" access to withdraw substantial assets from FTX before its 2022 collapse. The funds recovered will support FTXās reorganization plan, which aims to repay 98% of creditors over 118% of their claims in cash, based on FTX's bankruptcy valuation.
Other Domestic Regulation Updates
- FBI arrests Alabama man behind SEC social media hack and phony spot bitcoin ETF post
- US government crypto wallets hacked for $20M, say Arkham and ZachXBT
- Northern Data Wants to Sell Crypto Mining Unit to Fund AI VentureĀ
- āGold Paperā Reveals Trump Family, Insiders Get 75% of World Liberty Profits
- U.S. SEC Clears Cboe, NYSE for BTC ETF Options Trading
- Game Developer Sues Market Maker Jump Crypto for Pumping and Dumping Its TokensĀ
Other International Regulation Updates
- Nigeria drops money laundering charges against Binance executive Tigran Gambaryan
- Denmark plans to propose taxing unrealized crypto gains in upcoming bill
- Italy plans to raise capital gains tax on bitcoin from 26% to 42%: report
- Report: 76% of Asian Private Wealth Funds Hold Crypto
Pain & Gain
Pain
- Michael Saylor's comment on regulated bitcoin custody draws criticism from Vitalik Buterin
- Crypto CEO Loses $450K to 'Best Friend' After Connecting to His WiFi
- Remember Farcaster? Activity on the SocialFi Dapp is Plummeting
- Human-Like Typo By AI Millionaire Nukes Token
Gain
- World Network Launches Ethereum Layer 2 'World Chain'
- Maple Finance Prepares for Syrup Token Launch
- Bittensor Launches Smart Contracts and Ethereum Compatibility
- PumpFun Teases Token and Launches Unveils 'Advance' Platform
Important Legal Notices
This reflects the views MJL Capital LLC (āMJLā), but it should in no way be construed to represent financial or investment advice. Nothing in this correspondence is intended to constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an issue for sale or subscription of, or solicitation of any offer or invitation to subscribe for, underwrite, or otherwise acquire or dispose of any security, including any interest in any private investment fund managed by MJL. Any such offer may only be made pursuant to a formal confidential private placement memorandum of any such fund, which may be furnished to potential investors upon request and which will contain important information to be considered in connection with any such investment, including risk factors associated with making any investment in any such fund. Further, nothing in this correspondence is, or is intended to be treated as, investment or tax advice. Each recipient should consult their own legal, tax and other professional advisors in connection with investment decisions.
Domenic Salvo is a Managing Partner at MJL Capital, helping lead Portfolio Research and Investor Relations.