Tariffs, Tensions, Turmoil Trumpās Trade Tactics Threaten Tumultuous Times

President Trumpās newly announced blanket 10% tariff, alongside targeted penalties for 60 countries based on a trade-deficit formula, could push the effective U.S. tariff rate to 22.5%ā30%āthe highest in over a century, according to Yaleās Budget Lab. Historically, this marks the most aggressive U.S. trade action since the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930, which worsened the Great Depression.

Supporters argue the plan corrects decades of trade imbalances, encourages domestic manufacturing, and bolsters economic sovereignty. Critics, however, call the methodology simplistic and warn of broad economic fallout. Forecasts show U.S. GDP could contract by 0.9%ā1.0% in 2025, with long-term output falling by up to $180B annually. Households may face $3,400ā$4,200 in added costs, with food prices rising 3.7%. While China appears resilient due to reduced export reliance, other trading partners may retaliate.

Markets are jittery, and supply chain disruptions remain a concern. Still, advocates see tariffs as a strategic lever to strengthen U.S. industry and negotiate fairer trade terms.
Top Stories
Swapping Pumps
Pump.fun launched its native DEX, PumpSwap, on March 20, marking a major shift in Solanaās memecoin trading landscape. The new platform enables direct trading of tokens that previously migrated to Raydium, eliminating the 6 SOL migration fee and laying groundwork for future creator revenue sharing. PumpSwap processed $270 million in volume in its first daysājust 2% of Raydiumās $13B March volumeābut it benefits from seamless integration with Pump.funās launchpad, offering a strong funnel for user growth. The move disrupts Solanaās previously stable DEX hierarchy, with top players Raydium, Orca, and Meteora handling $37B collectively last month. By vertically integrating creation and trading, Pump.fun aims to reclaim fees lost to other exchangesāa trend seen in maturing DeFi markets. Whether this strategy cements Pump.funās position or triggers a defensive response from incumbents remains to be seen.

Source: The Block
Tether Boosts Bitcoin Holdings to $7.8B, Now 6th-Largest Holder
Stablecoin giant Tether added 8,888 BTC in Q1 2025 for $735 million, increasing its total bitcoin reserves to 92,646 BTCāvalued at over $7.8 billionāmaking it the sixth-largest single-wallet holder of the asset. The purchase, logged on March 31, aligns with Tetherās strategy of allocating 15% of quarterly profits to bitcoin since September 2022. With BTC prices soaring, Tether now holds an estimated $3.9 billion in unrealized gains. The company posted $13 billion in net profit in 2024 and continues to diversify beyond stablecoins into bitcoin mining, energy, and AI. Separately, Japanās Metaplanet acquired an additional 696 BTC, bringing its total to 4,046 BTC worth over $340 million.
BlackRockās Fink Warns U.S. Dollar at Risk as Bitcoin Gains Ground
In his annual letter to investors, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink cautioned that the U.S. dollar could lose its status as the worldās reserve currency to bitcoin if federal deficits continue to rise unchecked. Praising decentralized finance as a āfaster, cheaper and more transparentā innovation, Fink warned that global confidence in the dollar could erode if digital assets are seen as safer stores of value. He highlighted the explosive growth of BlackRockās spot Bitcoin ETF, IBIT, which surpassed $50 billion in AUM within a yearāmaking it the largest ETF launch in history. Fink also touted tokenization as a transformative force for traditional finance, suggesting blockchain-based ownership of real-world assets could democratize access and reshape investing.

Source: Blackrock
FDUSD Depegs After Justin Sun Alleges Issuer Insolvency
First Digitalās FDUSD stablecoin briefly lost its dollar peg by 9% after Tron founder Justin Sun claimed the issuer was insolvent and urged users to withdraw funds. The depeg caused a short-lived plunge in market cap before partial recovery. Sunās warning followed reports that Techteryx, issuer of TrueUSD, filed a lawsuit accusing First Digital CEO Vincent Chok of diverting nearly $500 million in client assets into illiquid investments. While Sun previously intervened to support TUSD during that crisis, he is also linked to rival stablecoin USDD. First Digital denied all allegations, asserting its solvency and announcing plans for legal action to defend its reputation.
PayPal and Venmo to Add Solana and Chainlink Support in Expanded Crypto Push
PayPal and Venmo users will soon be able to buy, sell, hold, and transfer Solana (SOL) and Chainlink (LINK), further expanding the platformsā crypto offerings beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum. The rollout will occur over the coming weeks, with PayPal citing increased user demand and its commitment to crypto accessibility. This follows earlier expansions, including the launch of PayPalās own stablecoin PYUSD and integration with Ethereum Name Service (ENS). The move positions PayPal and Venmo as key bridges between traditional payments and Web3, aligning with PayPalās goal to see 20 million merchants adopt PYUSD by the end of 2025.
Regulation
House Panel Pushes Forward on Stablecoin Rules, Eyes CBDC Ban
The House Financial Services Committee voted 32-17 to advance the STABLE Act, a key bill aimed at regulating dollar-backed stablecoins and modernizing oversight of digital financial infrastructure. Chair French Hill (R-AR) argued that regulation is essential to maintain U.S. competitiveness as blockchain transforms global money flows. Debate included amendments probing President Trumpās crypto ties, highlighting growing political scrutiny. The House bill now heads toward negotiations with the Senateās GENIUS Act, which takes a different stance on foreign issuers and market structure. The committee also advanced a separate bill from Rep. Tom Emmer to block the issuance of a U.S. CBDC, underscoring ongoing resistance to centralized digital currency efforts.
Senate Overturns Controversial IRS DeFi Tax Rule, Trump Expected to Sign
The U.S. Senate voted 70-28 to repeal a contentious IRS crypto tax rule, advancing the measure to President Trump, who is expected to sign it into law. The rule, finalized just before Trump took office, would have required certain decentralized finance (DeFi) service providersāspecifically those operating front-end interfacesāto act like traditional brokers by collecting user data and issuing Form 1099s for non-employment income. Critics argued it overreached by targeting web-facing entities rather than protocols themselves. Trumpās senior advisors, including White House Crypto Czar David Sacks, have recommended approval, citing the administrationās pro-innovation stance.
Tether Weighs U.S.-Compliant Stablecoin Amid Regulatory Pressure on USDT
Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino said the firm is prepared to launch a new U.S.-compliant stablecoin if upcoming legislation pushes USDT out of American markets. Despite concerns over the STABLE and GENIUS Actsāwhich would require rigorous anti-money laundering compliance and financial auditsāArdoino downplayed the risk, stating USDT remains essential in emerging markets and that Tether is ānot fussedā by U.S. rules. He signaled Tetherās openness to audits and affirmed continued cooperation with law enforcement, while confirming that the company has invested in new stablecoin ventures in the U.S. and Europe. Ardoino also acknowledged a future where USDT may no longer be offered in either the U.S. or EU, yet emphasized that access to USDT remains crucial for global remittances. The new legislation would limit USDTās availability to American users but may still permit trading on decentralized platforms.
Other Domestic Regulation Updates
- PayPal activates SOL and LINK support in US
- SEC Officially Drops Cases Against Kraken, ConsenSys, and Cumberland DRW
- Circle IPO odds tumble on Polymarket
- Prospective SEC chair pressed on sale of FTX-tied firm
- Bo Hines discusses quarterbacking the White Houseās crypto strategy
- Trumpās SEC pick grilled on past agency actions, conflicts of interestĀ
- Elon Musk and DOGE: What You Need to Know About the Department of Government Efficiency
- Fidelity Lets Investors Directly Invest in Crypto Through New IRA Plan
Other International Regulation Updates
- UK Police Team With Law Firm for Asset Recovery Program Following Crypto Fraud Seizure
- Ripple Integrates RLUSD Stablecoin Into Cross-Border Payments System
- Tron's Justin Sun Bailed Out TUSD as Stablecoin's $456M Reserves Were Stuck in Limbo, Filings Show
Pain & Gain
Pain
- DOGE price drops as Elon Musk confirms 'no plans' to use the memecoin
- Multiple altcoins suddenly crash on Binance
Gain
- Circle taps JPMorgan Chase, Citi ahead of planned IPO filing
- Ripple stablecoin launches on Kraken as market cap nears $250 million
- Ethena Labsā USDtb Stablecoin Surges 1,500%, Enters Top 10 Stablecoins
- Matcha says most DEXs will support Solana by year-end
Important Legal Notices
This reflects the views MJL Capital LLC (āMJLā), but it should in no way be construed to represent financial or investment advice. Nothing in this correspondence is intended to constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an issue for sale or subscription of, or solicitation of any offer or invitation to subscribe for, underwrite, or otherwise acquire or dispose of any security, including any interest in any private investment fund managed by MJL. Any such offer may only be made pursuant to a formal confidential private placement memorandum of any such fund, which may be furnished to potential investors upon request and which will contain important information to be considered in connection with any such investment, including risk factors associated with making any investment in any such fund. Further, nothing in this correspondence is, or is intended to be treated as, investment or tax advice. Each recipient should consult their own legal, tax and other professional advisors in connection with investment decisions.
Domenic Salvo is a Managing Partner at MJL Capital, helping lead Portfolio Research and Investor Relations.